Analysis: The fate of US stocks depends on the next 14 trading days, and key economic events will follow one after another

According to Jinshi data, the US stock market will usher in a critical period in the next few weeks, with employment data, inflation indicators and Fed interest rate resolutions announced within 14 trading days, affecting the market tone. The S&P 500 just recorded its weakest monthly gain since March, while September usually performs the worst. Market volatility has almost disappeared, with VIX hitting only 20 times since the end of June. Thomas Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, said it was right for investors to remain cautious in September, as the Fed reopened a moderate rate cut cycle made it difficult for traders to determine positions. He expects the S&P 500 to fall 5% to 10% this fall, before rebounding to between 6,800 and 7,000 points.