From Fed rate cuts to Taylor Swift pregnancy forecast: Bernstein says cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence and news are gathering forecast markets
Source: CoinWorld
Time: 2025-09-18 18:33:15
The forecast market is growing from niche politics and sports betting to the main platform for macro events, cryptocurrencies and AI real-time information, with platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi leading this expansion. Cryptocurrency native platform Polymarket achieved $2.6 billion in monthly trading volume during the U.S. election, while regulated U.S. platform Kalshi set a record of $1.3 billion in September. Regulatory progress—including Polymarket’s return to the U.S. through the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) letter of non-action, and Kalshi’s victory in court allow political contracts—is accelerating its mainstream application. Major platforms such as Robinhood, Coinbase and X are integrating forecast markets to drive transaction volume and innovation.