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Barclays: Fed rate path risk tends to delay rate cuts

Source: ChainCatcher
According to ChainCatcher, Barclays economists pointed out that risks in the Fed's interest rate path are tending to delay interest rate cuts, according to Kingshin reports. This could happen if inflation data continued to show strong prices in early 2026, or tariff policies pushed prices in non-commodity sectors against a moderate rise in unemployment. Conversely, if the unemployment rate suddenly soars, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may take more aggressive rate cuts. Barclays expects FOMC to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 until signs of slowing monthly inflation data and is convinced that inflation is returning to the 2% target.
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