Before the FOMC statement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 and 50 basis points at this meeting was 93.7% and 6.3% respectively.
Source: Htx
Time: 2025-09-18 01:56:12
Huobi HTX reported that according to CME's "Feder Observation": the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates tonight is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 93.7%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 6.3%. The probability of the Fed's cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points in October is 25.6%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 69.8%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 4.6%. The probability of the Fed's cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December is 1.7%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 28.6%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 65.4%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 100 basis points is 4.3%.