Polymarket predicts that Fed decision-making transaction volume in September has exceeded $130 million
Source: Odaily
Time: 2025-09-16 11:40:09
Odaily Planet Daily News Polymarket's latest data, the probability of the option of "revenue cuts by 25 basis points" in the related contracts "whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September 2025" has reached 91%. In contrast, the probability of “rate cuts 50 basis points and above” is 7%, the probability of “unchanged” is 2%, and the option of “rate raises” is almost zero. In addition, as real capital is sending expected signals, the forecast event has exceeded $130 million, currently hitting $134,295,653, with a significant increase in market confidence in a 25 basis point cut since early August, which may reflect a stronger market expectations for a slowdown and a warming expectations of the Fed's policy stance turning to easing.