The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points rises to 92% in September 2025
Source: Binance
Time: 2025-09-16 10:54:41
According to Shenzhen Chao TechFlow, on September 16, Polymarket data showed that as of today, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September 2025 has risen to 92%. In contrast, the probability of a rate cut of 50 basis points or more is 7%, and the probability of constant is 2%. The rate hike option is almost zero. In addition, the transaction size of the forecast event has exceeded $100 million and is currently hitting $133,634,862. Since early August, market confidence in a 25 basis point cut has increased significantly, which may reflect a stronger market expectation of a slowdown and a warming expectations of the Fed's policy stance turning to easing.