Macro Outlook Next Week: "Super Central Bank Week" is coming, and the Fed's interest rate cut cycle is about to restart
Source: PANews
Time: 2025-09-13 19:14:10
PANews September 13 news: Over the past week, moderate CPI and PPI inflation reports, as well as surge in initial jobless claims, paved the way for the Fed to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its September meeting. The next week will be the highly anticipated "super central bank week", and Trump is about to usher in the moment he has been waiting for. The Fed will meet next week to formulate monetary policy, and its decision may set the tone for market performance for the rest of the year. Here are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week:
Monday at 20:30, the US New York Fed Manufacturing Index in September;
Tuesday at 20:30, the monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in August and the monthly rate of import price index in the United States in August;
At 2:00 on Thursday, the Federal Reserve FOMC released a summary of interest rate decisions and economic expectations;
At 2:30 on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a monetary policy press conference;
At 20:30 on Thursday, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States to the week of September 13;
At 22:00 on Thursday, the United States Consultative Conference led the monthly rate of indicators in August.
The Fed will hold a policy meeting next week, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and there is even a 7% chance of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. However, based on market pricing, it is more likely that the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points each for the remaining three meetings.