The probability of the Fed's 50 basis points cut in September rose to 10.9% after CPI announcement
Source: Odaily
Time: 2025-09-11 20:55:08
Odaily Planet Daily News According to CME's "Feder Observation": The probability of the Fed's interest rate cut by 25 basis points in September is 89.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 10.9%. The probability of the Fed's cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points in October is 4.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 84.4%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 11.3%. (Before the announcement of the CPI, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September was 92%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut was 8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October was 21.2%, the probability of a 50 basis points cut was 72.6%, and the probability of a 75 basis points cut was 6.2%.) (Golden Ten)